Friday, December 29, 2023

OOps! Oh Dear.... time to stop trying to predict the future?

Well, here I go again, and while some of the predictions I made on Feb 13, 2023, as shown below

came about, well just ONE actually, I appear to have missed the mark again.

Just as well I have not enough money to invest in Tesla.....


1. The Starship will launch on 10th of  August 2023, based on Joe Biden telling the FAA not to issue a flight licence, until then. It will be ready to launch 12th March 2023.

>>>>>>>The first one launched on April 20 2023. So maybe not so far out.

2. Tesla to launch a low cost car (Model 2?) on 3rd June 2023, with manufacture to start

on 14th December 2023.

>>>>>>>NOPE! not even the sniff of one.

3. Tesla to sell the first Cybertrucks on 16th November 2023. 

>>>>>>Yay! only out be about 4 days!  Not bad.

4. Tesla to sell the first robots in 21st December 2023.

>>>>>>No, but they look like they have one ready for manufacture.

Maybe next year.

5. Tesla finally releases Full Self Driving to buyers of it's cars 28th December 2023.

>>>>>>It has released V12 to it's employees, but I missed this one.

6. Russia conquers half of Ukraine by 5th of  June 2023, but will be driven out of Ukraine by 3rd of December 2023.

>>>>>>>No, miles out.

7. China will blockade Taiwan on August 2nd 2023.  This will prompt a trade war between the rest of the world and China.

>>>>>>>No miles out.

8. China will attack Russia on 14th September, taking most of Siberia and the areas on the Pacific coastline.

>>>>>>>No, miles out.

9. Tesla shares will be US$500 on Dec 31 2023.

>>>>>>Huh? about $248 as at 30 Dec 2023.

As the saying goes, don't give up your day job.

Which by the way I seem to have, at the ripe old age of 77.  It is a contract position, which I got by prefacing my application letter with "I am not the man you want. I can however act as a fill in until you find someone"

I had been drawing houses for about 18 months, the sort nobody in their right mind would enjoy drawing, ie town houses, so when a quiet period happened, I made an application to a process engineering consultancy and was hired for about 2 months then laid off for 2 months, then laid back on.  

I even got invited to the company lunch at the end of the year, which was quite exciting as my last company lunch was a chicken burger and coleslaw.

The work is miles more interesting, pipework in dairy factories.